I was happy enough with my predictions in Round 1, particularly after picking Gloucester’s win on the opening night. Four correct picks out of six has put me straight into the top 10% on Superbru, so let’s hope we can carry on that form through the season.
That might be why I have been asked to participate in a betting league with Tigers’ sponsor LeoVegas. I’m not sure how this will go, but each week I’ll bet up to £10, drawing on the wisdom of the crowd (Superbru’s community stats) and we’ll see if we can beat the bookie.
Make sure you join our league on Superbru and see how you fare against everyone else.
Sale v Newcastle
The Falcons have only won one of the last seven matches against Sale, although the winning margin between the two teams has been 8 points or fewer since 2008. Newcastle were impressive in their opening weekend win over Worcester, but you have to back the home team here, but not by many. Sale by 5.
Average Superbru prediction: Sale by 0.36 | Bookie Handicap: Sale -5.5
Bath v Saracens
Both teams had outstanding victories in Round 1, and this is one of the headline fixtures in Round 2. It’s hard to know just how good their performances were, and how much contribution was made by the disappointing efforts by Leicester and Northampton. With that in mind, I’m leaning towards Saracens, since it’s hard to ever pick against them at the moment. They’ve also won 6 of the last 7 and 9 of the last 11 against Bath, and I’m backing them to win at the Rec again. Saracens by 6.
Average Superbru prediction: Saracens by 6.89 | Bookie Handicap: Saracens -3.5
Exeter v London Irish
The Exiles had a great win over Harlequins at Twickenham, but again, how much of that was down to Quins’ insipid performance? The Champions were beaten in the last minute at Kingsholm, but you’d expect them to bounce back here and dispatch the Premiership new boys. Exeter by 13.
Average Superbru prediction: Exeter by 5.67 | Bookie Handicap: Exeter -14.5
Harlequins v Gloucester
Quins’ home form has me favouring the London side in this one, and they actually won this match home and away last season. It feels a bit 50/50 until we have more evidence of each team’s form, so we’ll go with Quins for now. Harlequins by 2.
Average Superbru prediction: Harlequins by 0.47 | Bookie Handicap: Harlequins -5.5
Northampton v Leicester
This is the other huge match this weekend, between the two old East Midlands rivals that disappointed their fans in the first week. It’s very tough to call, but the Tigers have had the better of the rivalry over the last few years, having won the last five – including two victories at Franklins Gardens. Saints looked poor last week, and if Tigers can be more clinical, they should win this. Leicester by 6.
Average Superbru prediction: Leicester by 3.41 | Bookie Handicap: Leicester -1.5
Worcester v Wasps
The final game on Sunday feels slightly more clear cut, although the Warriors will aim to be very tough to beat at Sixways. There’s more quality across the board in that Wasps side though. Wasps by 8.
Average Superbru prediction: Wasps by 11.84 | Bookie Handicap: Wasps -13.5
10 on Sale v Newcastle: Either team to win by 7 or less – 2.32
The average winning margin in the last 10 matches is 4.2 points, with only one match won by more than 7, so I’m going all-in on this one.
We’re competing in the LeoVegas Punters’ Union rugby betting league! We’re going head-to-head with other UK rugby sites this season to see who can win the most rugby bets! Who are you backing this weekend? Bet at leovegas.com
Follow Hutch on Twitter: @Hutch_James