Aviva Premiership 2017/18: Round 7 Predictions

Rugby Predictions

We’re back with the Aviva Premiership after the European double-header, but it’s only for a week before the international weekend in November. Here are my picks for this round.

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Sale v Exeter
This is a very tricky pick, on the back of big European fixtures, with Sale traditionally strong at home. But Exeter is the better side, and if you can go to Montpellier and win against their all-star side, you can go to Salford and beat Sale. Exeter by 7.

Average Superbru prediction: Exeter by 7.77 | Bookie Handicap: Exeter -3.5

Northampton v Wasps
Wasps have been struggling in the league, but will take confidence from their thrashing of Harlequins last week. But with a return to league action, they are under more pressure in 10th place in the table, and I suspect they’ll struggle at Franklin’s Gardens. They have won 5 of the last 6 meetings between the sides, including their last two away fixtures, but I’m backing the home side for this one. Northampton by 4.

Average Superbru prediction: Northampton by 5.94 | Bookie Handicap: Northampton -2.5

Harlequins v Worcester
The Warriors have won two of the last three matches against Harlequins, including an away win in 2016. They are 0 from 6 in the league though this season, and that’s unlikely to change at the Stoop, where Quins are very tough to beat. Harlequins by 13.

Average Superbru prediction: Harlequins by 11.44 | Bookie Handicap: Harlequins -10.5

Saracens v London Irish
This looks like another one-sided fixture, with the home side sure to win. Saracens have won by an average of 26 points in their home games this season (including the opening match at Twickenham), and the Exiles are the weakest side to play – they’ve lost by an average of 24 points in their away matches so far, and two of those were against Newcastle and Sale. I haven’t seen the team sheets yet, but Sarries should thrash them. Saracens by 33.

Average Superbru prediction: Saracens by 17.58 | Bookie Handicap: Harlequins -23.5

Newcastle v Leicester
This is fourth versus fifth in the Premiership table, and the Falcons have been the surprise team of the opening rounds of the season. The Tigers have been returning to form though, with four wins in a row, they enjoyed a good win over Castres last weekend and sit top of the European pool. They have won 7 of the last 8 fixtures against Newcastle, and remain the better side in my view. Leicester by 6.

Average Superbru prediction: Leicester by 1.73 | Bookie Handicap: Leicester -1.5

Bath v Gloucester
Gloucester is yet to win an away game this season, and they won’t get a welcome reception at The Rec against their west country rivals. Bath has won 8 of the last 9 meetings, and although derbies can be tough to predict, I can only see one winner here. Bath by 9.

Average Superbru prediction: Bath by 7.86 | Bookie Handicap: Bath -10.5

Bets:
Harlequins to win; Bath to win; Saracens to score first and win – combined odds 1.99

See how well we’re doing in the LeoVegas Punters’ Union rugby betting league at puntersunion.leovegas.com. We’re going head-to-head with other UK rugby titles this season to see who can win the most rugby bets and finish top in May! Who are you betting on this weekend?

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4 thoughts on “Aviva Premiership 2017/18: Round 7 Predictions

  1. I fancy Newcastle to beat Leicester at home. Newcastle’s defence has always been tough but this season they have added an edge to their attack and, I think they might just sneak a tight win.

    Although I haven’t seen the team sheet for Irish, I can tell you that Sarries have made three changes from last weeks team. Itoje is rested with Burger starting and Tomkins is in for Taylor who is injured. Spencer and Wiggy have swapped with Spencer starting.
    Based on recent Exiles performance I think you may be right and, this will be a thrashing!

  2. Quins are missing an entire front row, which is entirely their own fault. Yarde seems to be missing again (is this still disciplinary)? and their bench looks weak. They were also dire last week, and if Worcester are going to pick up a win this season Quins are as likely as any to provide it. I agree with Dazza that Newcastle have a decent chance of turning Leicester over.

    1. That is all true but even though Worcester put up a decent performance against Connacht last week they still lost. I just can’t ever bet on them winning away. They must surely have the worst away record in the prem.

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