Aviva Premiership Predictions: Round 17

Where does time go? It’s March and it’s Round 17 in the Aviva Premiership already, and as the knockout stages begin to loom, there are some outstanding matches in prospect this week.

Newcastle are first up tonight, and should be buoyed by their win at Leeds last weekend which ought to ensure their survival in the top flight yet again. Back on home ground and with a spring in their step, I’m backing them to beat Quins which would be something of an upset – 75% of Gurus are predicting a Quins win, but I fancy the home side.

I’m also predicting a win for another early-season relegation candidate over the early-season title favourites. Northampton are on a dreadful run, and away at Exeter is not the sort of fixture you want when you are low on confidence, so I’ve gone with the home side to turn them over.

Then we have a west country clash with both teams on form. There’s not much to choose between the sides, but Gloucester’s home record cannot be ignored, and they’ll be excited about doing the double over their local rivals.

Those fixtures would be enough for a good weekend, but then we have a top of the table meeting between Leicester and Sarries – listen to the Podcast for a good preview – and again I can’t ignore home advantage.

In the other two games, I think Irish will benefit from Leeds’ plight at the bottom of the table, and Wasps should overcome Sale at home.

Here are my Aviva Premiership Rugby predictions for this weekend:

Newcastle Falcons v Harlequins: Newcastle Falcons by 5
Exeter Chiefs v Northampton Saints: Exeter Chiefs by 6
Gloucester Rugby v Bath: Gloucester Rugby by 6
Leicester Tigers v Saracens: Leicester Tigers by 8
Leeds Carnegie v London Irish: London Irish by 17
London Wasps v Sale Sharks: London Wasps by 7

14 thoughts on “Aviva Premiership Predictions: Round 17

  1. I concur mostly with your choices. Other than the Falcons win over Quins. You really think that Newcastle have a win in them? If there is gonna be an upset I think it is gonna be Sale over the Wasps. I really don’t think that the Chiefs getting a win at home is considered an upset anymore. They are having a really good season.

  2. I may look stupid in 12 hours’ time, but I’m sticking with my Newcastle prediction – that win away at Leeds should take the pressure off slightly and boost the confidence.

    Quins are without Easter, Care and Evans who are often the driving force in the side, and I can see them getting turned over…

  3. Haha, kind of you to call me an expert…! However, I predicted the Tahs to beat the Crusaders this morning, which was fairly wide of the mark, and tonight’s Quins game could go either way.

    I have been doing better in the SportGuru Aviva game though…

  4. I only just started on the Sportguru Aviva game but I’m doing pretty badly so far. I picked the Wasps and the Quins last week. Ah well all good fun.

  5. Only areas I’d disagree:

    Harlequins have too much quality for Newcastle, so I’d go with Quins to win by 8.

    I also think away at Exeter, as well as they have played there this season, will be the place for Northampton to end their run of defeats. I’d expect a tense game to be won by a try in the forwards and a few Myler penalties.

    Bath – Gloucester will be incredibly interesting, not least to watch the performance of Banahan who is in the process of totally changing my opinion of him.

  6. Also just seen Hutch’s comments on Falcons – Quins.

    Having looked at the Quins backline it does look decidedly weak (didn’t think Lindsay-Hague ever looked that good even at Rosslyn Park) but I’d still back them to have enough quality to see off Newcastle. Clegg and Moore are inexperienced but Clegg has the ability to ignite a backline, as he has done for England age groups in the past, and Moore looked OK for a debutant against Irish.

    I’m less confident than I was before, but I’m still backing a Quins win – maybe halving my earlier prediction to a win by 4.

  7. Just heard that Lawes is starting for Northampton – is this true? If so, do you think he’ll start against Scotland (providing he comes through this game ok) in place of Deacon? He’s a far better player than Deacon, but Johnno might not want to break up a winning side

  8. Oh, and even without looking through my kaleidoscopic Quins glasses here (a lot of us on here, aren’t there), but I can’t see us being turned over by Newcastle

  9. Rory, Lawes did indeed play and so will hopefully be in the squad at least for the Scotland game and must be a shoe in for Ireland! Great news suddenly feel a little bit more confident we might get the Slam!

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