The Guinness Premiership season is underway at last, and the results from Round 1 suggest that this season will not be easy to predict.
Sale Sharks and Leicester kicked off the new campaign, and only 20% of players on SportGuru forecast the home victory against last season’s champions – it was a three-point margin at 15-12. Away at Edgeley Park on a Friday night is not an easy place to get a result, and it’s certainly a factor to consider when considering subsequent predictions.
Match two was also a surprise to three-quarters of the SportGuru community – Saracens beat London Irish by 18-14 at Twickenham having raced to an early lead, and only 23% of players accurately predicted the result.
When Harlequins were reduced to 14 men after 30 seconds, around 30% of the SportGuru community were cursing their luck having predicted a Quins victory – it wasn’t to be as Wasps won by a margin of 11 points.
Worcester Warriors nearly caused another upset in Round 1, but succumbed to a last-minute defeat at Franklin’s Gardens – 93% correctly predicted the outcome, but the manner of Northampton’s victory wasn’t exactly as expected and could have been very different.
The stalemate between Leeds and Newcastle left the majority of SportGuru players without a point, but just over 2.5% of the community did see it coming – a relatively high success rate for a drawn match.
The final game of the round saw Gloucester beat Bath at Kingsholm by an impressive 19 points. Very few people accurately predicted such a margin, but just over 70% forecast the Gloucester victory.
‘Derrick Lee’s #1 Fan’ tops The Rugby Blog leaderboard having correctly predicted 5 out of the 6 results. Only one person out of over 3,000 players got all 6, so this is some achievement. He’s opened up a commanding lead after just one round, but five players are snapping at his heels and things can change very quickly.
There were some very low scores in our league, which means if you haven’t joined yet, you can easily catch up – the link is www.sportguru.co.uk/guinness and the code is ‘rubscake’.
Round 2 has some exciting prospects, including Saracens versus Northampton at Wembley, with both teams looking to maintain their 100% record. Start doing the research into which teams played well, how each result came about and then consider your predictions for Round 2 next weekend.