After a much-improved performance last week, with four out of five results correctly predicted, here are my Round 3 Magners League predictions.
It was only the surprise Ulster victory over the Ospreys that cost me maximum points last week, but this round looks difficult to call. Most games are on the Friday night which could have an effect, particularly for Away teams.
Game 11: Connacht Rugby v Cardiff Blues: Cardiff Blues by 8
Connacht and Cardiff have both suffered two defeats from two, but the Irish side were demolished last week by Edinburgh. Cardiff also succumbed to the Scottish side in Round 1, but only by a point, and on this basis, I’ve predicted the Blues to win away from home.
Game 12: Ospreys v Leinster: Leinster by 7
After defeat last week, there has been a lot of reflection at the Ospreys, and confidence will be low. Leinster had a good win last week over the Dragons, and I’m tentatively predicting another Away victory.
Game 13: Newport Gwent Dragons v Glasgow Warriors: Newport Gwent Dragons by 6
Glasgow have won two from two so far, but both have been at home. Based on a fairly tenuous belief that Scottish sides don’t travel particularly well, I’ve gone for a narrow Dragons win.
Game 14: Ulster Rugby v Edinburgh: Edinburgh by 8
Edinburgh have had a great start to the season with wins over Cardiff and Connacht, and having just claimed that Scottish teams don’t travel well, I’m now predicting an Away victory for Edinburgh! Ulster turned over the Ospreys last week, so won’t be a pushover, but I don’t think they’ll make it two wins in a row.
Game 15: Scarlets v Munster: Munster by 5
The Scarlets have already beaten one of the big Irish sides this season, but I’m expecting Munster to be back on track after their win last week over Cardiff. Another narrow Away win, with my swayed by my heart.
Predicting four Away wins out of five doesn’t seem hugely sensible on reflection, but most of these fixtures really could go either way. Let us know who you are backing in Round 3.