RBS 6 Nations 2012 Predictions: Round 5

SportGuruEngland winning in Paris last weekend gave me a full house and much-needed Grand Slam Points on SportGuru, and it’s put me within striking distance of the leader in one or two of my pools.

Super Saturday in this season’s RBS 6 Nations is almost here, and it’s make or break time for many people. Here are my picks for Round 5.

Italy v Scotland: Italy by 3

The day kicks off with the annual Wooden Spoon contest between Italy and Scotland. Once again, the Scots have promised plenty and delivered nothing, and I fancy the Azzurri to heap more misery on Scotland.

The home side’s pack looks formidable again with Martin Castrogiovanni returning, and I’d expect them to have the upper hand up front. Scotland have the edge in the backs, particularly as Italy are still lacking quality half-backs, but they will defend passionately and the Scots’ cutting edge hasn’t exactly been razor sharp so far.

Will a defeat mean the end for Andy Robinson? Some people will be calling for his head, which I don’t necessarily agree with, but he is still struggling to deliver results.

My SportGuru prediction is Italy by 3, the Paddy Power handicap is Scotland -2 and the average SportGuru prediction is Scotland by 2.

Wales v France: Wales by 6

Some people have been saying how dangerous the French are, and the fact that they are out of the running for the title might be reason to fear them even more. But they were a shambles against England, to an almost comical extent, and I can’t see how Wales – with the prospect of a Grand Slam celebration afterwards – will be beaten.

Sam Warburton returns to the back row and will surely lead his side to victory. Wales are a settled side, full of confidence, playing at home in front of the vociferous Millennium Stadium crowd.

Philippe Saint-Andre appears to be picking up where Marc Lievremont left off, mixing up selection so that nobody knows which team will turn up – literally. They’ve ended up with Lionel Beauxis at fly-half, which surely can’t be their strongest option, and I really don’t think they’ll win.

My SportGuru prediction is Wales by 6, the Paddy Power handicap is Wales -6 and the average SportGuru prediction is Wales by 4.

England v Ireland: England by 5

When was the last time that England’s key area of superiority was in the centres? Manu Tuilagi versus Keith Earls seems like a mismatch, and with the in-form Tuilagi and Brad Barritt squaring up to the under-performing Earls and Gordon D’Arcy, this game is there to be won for England.

The English record against Ireland in the Six Nations is atrocious, with Ireland winning 7 of the last 8 meetings in the competition, but I fancy the English to pull one back on Saturday night. All over the park are tremendous match-ups, but if England can defend as they have been, and then generate quick ball in attack, they should be able to cross the gainline and get Ireland retreating.

My SportGuru prediction is England by 5, the Paddy Power handicap is England -3 and the average SportGuru prediction is England by 2.

Whatever happens, England v Ireland on St. Patrick’s Day is sure to be a tremendous occasion, and the game can’t come soon enough! Have a good weekend, and good luck with your picks.

What are your thoughts? Will you share your SportGuru picks?

9 thoughts on “RBS 6 Nations 2012 Predictions: Round 5

  1. This is a difficult weekend to predict. My heart says Wales by 7, Italy by 3 and Ireland by 5 – but this will be the tightest and hardest weekend to predict yet

  2. Ireland beaten by the referee in the Welsh and French matches, Earls to run rings around the harbour swimmer on Saturday. Ireland by 10.

    1. They weren’t really though … in the Welsh match Ireland came back at Wales when Wales were down to ten men. Bradley Davies was rightly sent off, but let’s rewind the heinous incident a little and we’ll see the Irish player that Bradley dumped delivering a cheap late shoulder charge to Adam Jones in a similar incident to the one that dislocated Adam’s shoulder against the Lions.

      So Bradley reacts. He shouldn’t have, he was wrong and he was rightly sent off. But if the Irish player hadn’t come in with the cheap shot then no yellow card for Bradley and no try for Ireland while he was in the bin … Welsh win. So if we’d lost we could blame Ire dirty play? No, because we should just go out and win anyway if we think we are better.

      We can all point at other people and blame them for our loss, but eventually Ireland will need to stop doing it and realise that it’s not always the ref or someone else’s fault when they lose.

      I’d blame Kidney for not having the balls to drop one of O’Brien/Ferris and get a proper openside in. Or for picking an out of form D’Arcy when the Irish regions are crammed with quality centres. Or the IRFU for allowing their regions to be dominated with South Africans in the front five. Or Sexton for kicking the ball time and time again to the Welsh back three…

  3. To be honest we would have lost even if ferris hadn’t been sent off. Wales had run the ball the full way up the pitch. As for the South Africa thing tthats only in Munster and Ulster.

Comments are closed.