New Zealand will win their 3 remaining games, so take them out of the equation. Assume a narrow win for Georgia, they could go to 8 points, leaving Argentina and Tonga on 1. Georgia would then need 3 points against Namibia to seal a QF spot, which is more likely than not.
Would a win for Georgia and a QF spot drive a change to European rugby, the way Argentina’s 2007 run did? Especially if one of England/Wales, Italy and possibly Scotland didn’t make the knock-outs?
Scotland too, without playing on the weekend, are already facing a near knock-out situation. If Japan beat them, and assuming Japan beat the USA, they’ll need to beat both Samoa and South Africa to quailfy, so this is a huge match for them.
France and NZ should comfortably win and march on in their pools. I also fancy Australia against Fiji, who probably won’t be fully recovered after a tough opener.
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