Rugby World Cup Permutations: Wales

Wales Rugby World Cup

When Samoa beat Australia at the weekend, for some people their first thought was, ‘bad news for Wales’. Warren Gatland and Shaun Edwards will know why.

Wales Rugby World Cup

Other people didn’t realise the significance for the Welsh as they weren’t so familiar with the draw, so we thought we’d put together the various permutations and predicted route for the teams that people will be following.

Wales’ Rugby World Cup Fixtures
Sunday 11th September, South Africa v Wales, Wellington
Sunday 18th September, Wales v Samoa, Hamilton
Monday 26th September, Wales v Namibia, New Plymouth
Sunday 2nd October, Wales v Fiji, Hamilton


Wales have a tough draw. The World Champions are favourites to win the group, and although it’s not out of the question for Wales to beat South Africa, the Springboks are likely to win that opening match in Wellington.

Barring an upset, that will leave Wales needing victories over everyone else in their pool to qualify as the runner-up and progress to the quarter-finals. Given their form against Pacific Island sides in previous World Cups, the dull draw with Fiji last November, and the fact that Samoa have just beaten Australia, you wouldn’t put your mortgage on the Welsh emerging from the pool.

However, if Wales qualify as pool runners-up as expected, they’ll face the winner of Pool C, which contains Australia, Ireland, Italy, USA and Russia (if they win their group, then they’ll take on the runner-up of Pool C). On their day, the Welsh are capable of beating any of those sides, and although the Wallabies are the most likely opposition, Wales could feasibly end up in the semi-finals.

Of course, there are all sorts of permutations for who they are likely to face at this stage, but the form guide suggests that it is likely to be England or France. Then it’s probably New Zealand in the final, and the greatest Welsh achievement of all time in lifting the trophy?


How far do you think Wales will get in the Rugby World Cup? Take the poll below and we’ll all head to the bookies with the results.

How far will Wales get in the Rugby World Cup 2011?

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10 thoughts on “Rugby World Cup Permutations: Wales

  1. I honestly think that the Pacific Island teams are real bogey sides for Wales. Samoa are on a high at the moment and the fact they beat (allbeit a weaker) Aussie side will have installed confidence. On a side note I really hope they step up this year as they have some quality players who have proved their worth in the Heineken Cup and S15 in recent years.

    We all know Wales’ history against Fiji and with South Africa in the group as well I think they will be bruised and battered by the time they face them in their last match. As much as I do support the home nations, I’d much rather see either Fiji or Samoa progress as, in terms of development of the game worldwide, it would be much more beneficial, especially in the eyes of a neutral.

    Sorry Wales fans!

  2. Nick i agree, i think that potentially Wales may struggle getting out of the group. They shouldn’t. On their day Wales are world class, but facing South Africa and Samoa in their first two games is a tough opening.
    If they pick up a win at Samoa, they will progress. That followed by a rout of Namibia should push the momentum in their favour. However an Aussie/Ireland side awaits and i think that will prove to be too much.

  3. somoa were could but wales are very poor they don’t have a pack that dominates and their free running style has disappeared! i think it was a big mistake extending gathlands contract scarlets coach should get the job!
    i can not see them getting out of their pool I think ireland can top their pool which will leave Ireland somoa and oz vs spring boks

  4. Really impressed by Samoa at the weekend. They were very agressive. But Australia did not show them enough respect early by not going for the posts and this was like a red rag to a bull. Neither Wales or the Springboks will make the same mistake.
    Also Samoa and Fiji may end up taking each other out. Samoa can definitely beat Wales but I can see Fiji beating Samoa the following week and opening up the pool and Wales experience could be enough to see off Fiji while Samoa get beaten by the Springboks.
    But the physical nature of the pool will mean that Wales will lose in the Quaterfinals whether it is Ireland or Australia.

  5. Someone voted that they’d get to the final? I’m a Wales fan and I think even I’m a little more realistic than that. I think in the first game they will have a close run thing against SA (which they’ll lose) and then that will dishearten them for the rest of the games.

  6. I think wales will get to the quarter finals but will for sure lose there first game against the spring box. They will re-group after that game then go on and smash Samoa, i think 🙂


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