I was 5 out of 7 in Round 3, with more green arrows everywhere, and only missing the Reds win over the Brumbies (picked by 9%) and the Sharks draw with the Waratahs (1%). The Chiefs to beat the Blues and Lions to beat the Bulls were the other slightly contentious picks, but we were on the right side of those thankfully.
Here are my Super Rugby predictions for Round 4.
Highlanders v Stormers
The Stormers have shipped nearly 100 points across their last two visits to Dunedin, including a 57-14 drubbing last year. The Crusaders scored 45 against them last week, and so it could be something similar for the Highlanders this weekend as their difficult tour continues. Highlanders by 18
Rebels v Brumbies
The Brumbies defeat to the Reds last weekend was one of the worst games to watch of all time, and the Brumbies looked pretty poor. The Rebels have had two good victories so far, and backing the home side is the thing to do here. Rebels by 13
Hurricanes v Crusaders
At least after that Aussie derby, we can look ahead to a pulsating Kiwi contest as the Hurricanes take on the Crusaders in Wellington. The Canes are just returning from an arduous trip to Johannesburg and Buenos Aires, whilst the Crusaders have been keeping it local and looking very strong. That travel factor is making me look at the ‘Saders for this one. Crusaders by 7
Reds v Bulls
I’m still not sure what to make of the Reds, after the red card in their opening match and a dreadful effort by the Brumbies last week. The Bulls don’t like to travel, but I can see them dominating the Reds up front and coming away with a win. Bulls by 6
Sharks v Sunwolves
The Sharks will be kicking themselves for only managing a draw with the Waratahs, in a game they largely dominated and should have put away. The Sunwolves have lost two at home and now head off on tour, probably without much hope of winning. Sharks by 28
Lions v Blues
The Lions have won the last three fixtures between these sides, including a big 43-5 win the last time they met in Johannesburg. The Blues are looking pretty strong this season, despite two defeats from two, and I certainly don’t think they’ll be a pushover – but with the travel, altitude and calibre of the home team, I think Lions will win. Lions by 9
Jaguares v Waratahs
The Waratahs are unbeaten so far, whilst the Jaguares have lost three in a row. But I’m not yet convinced by the Tahs, I think they’ve been fortunate in their two matches so far, the travel factor will be taking its toll on the squad, and Kurtley Beale is likely to be injured. For all those reasons, I’m leaning towards a win for the home team. Jaguares by 2
What do you make of this week’s predictions?
Follow Hutch on Twitter: @Hutch_James