Top 14 Preview and Predictions: Round 22


If you’re still recovering from last weekend’s heart-stopping climax to the Six Nations in Paris, do not pay any attention to French rugby’s top flight.

Almost anything else will be less harmful to your health than this weekend’s Top 14 full-fat diet. There’s no gentle aperitif on Friday, either. It’s straight in with the super-sized Big Mac and Fries that is Clermont v Toulon at Stade Marcel Michelin.

At any time of any season, this would be a big game. But, at this time, in the tightest Top 14 for years, after the two-week Six Nations break, and ahead of the Heineken Cup quarter-finals, this is a monster.

A tasty Top 14 classic gets a 21st-century twist when fourth-placed Stade Francais face fifth-placed Toulouse at Stade Jean Bouin.

The Parisians have a perfect home record this season, while Guy Noves’ team have suffered with terrible travel sickness. Or, at least, they did until they beat Biarritz on the road just before the international break. But one win in 10 away from home is not a record to take to Paris.

There’s a touch of spice to Bayonne’s match against Bordeaux, too. This is a match the Basque country’s other side cannot afford to lose, if they are to stay safely out of the relegation zone. They’re just four points ahead of Oyonnax, who are currently 13th, and the side from the plastics city have a game in hand.

A third defeat at home would have Bayonne looking nervously over their shoulder – especially as Oyonnax are at home, where they have won all but one of their Top 14 games. Christophe Urios’s feisty side picked up a much-needed win on the road at Biarritz when all the other teams were enjoying the international break. Oyonnax needed that win. They need this one, too.

There’ll be a hot reception for Brive at the home of the Top 14 champions, Castres. The hosts were embarrassed 34-0 at Stade Amédée Domenech in October and will want to prove that score was a fluke. But Brive – despite not winning on the road this season – still harbour play-off hopes. This weekend’s results will determine whether those hopes are serious or not.

There’s a Southern fried flavour to Perpignan v Biarritz. The Catalan side are hovering dangerously close to the relegation zone. Defeat, with results elsewhere going against them, would mean that they will drop into the bottom two with time fast running out. But, a loss at home to Biarritz – who are as good as down already – is surely unthinkable.

The Top 14 weekend ends with the fast-food, slick Persian Bazaar that is Grenoble v Racing Metro. With the play-offs looming, it’s an understatement to call this game crucial for both sides. But the hosts fear no one these days. This has home win written all over it, even though Racing are currently ahead in the league.

SuperBru Predictions:
Clermont v Toulon: Clermont by 9
Stade Francais v Toulouse: Stade by 14
Bayonne v Bordeaux: Bayonne by 6
Castres v Brive: Castres by 14
Oyonnax v Montpellier: Oyonnax by 2
Perpignan v Biarritz: Perpignan by 9
Grenoble v Racing Metro: Grenoble by 8

By James Harrington (@blackmountained)

Photo by: Patrick Khachfe / Onside Images