Gallagher Premiership 2019/20: Round 5 Predictions

Gallagher Premiership

Even though the league started late, we’re already up to Round 5 of the Gallagher Premiership season, and we’re back again after a two week break for the Heineken Champions Cup. Hopefully we can really get stuck into it now.

Oh no, hang on, there’s just one round of domestic league action before we return to back-to-back weekends of European Rugby once again. I really can’t stand the stop-start nature of all of our competitions in the northern hemisphere…

Anyway, we roll on under the cloud of Wraygate with simmering tension between Saracens and the rest of the league over their blatant flouting of the spirit of the salary cap – whether or not they found a loophole in the laws – and their continued refusal to show any remorse.

The whole league is now tainted as far as I am concerned, and I’m struggling to find excitement in it until something changes. I should have been rejoicing at the news that Semi Radradra will be gracing Premiership Rugby pitches, but instead my first thought is how that fits into Bristol’s wage bill, who has to leave to free up the funds and how can that possibly be a good investment in what is essentially a failing sport?

Here are my predictions for Round 5 of the Gallagher Premiership:

Bath v Saracens
These two clubs were warned about salary cap cheating a few years ago (although I don’t think it was ever confirmed that it was Bath), but that didn’t seem to make any difference whatsoever. They go head-to-head at the Rec on Friday night, and this is a fixture that the home side usually wins – Sarries haven’t won in Bath since 2016. Nevertheless, with such a huge points deficit to make up in the league, and whilst most of their internationals are available, Sarries will be going all out to win this. Saracens by 9

Exeter v Wasps
A couple of strong performances in Europe will help the Chiefs put their indifferent league form behind them, and I expect them to win at Sandy Park. Wasps have just one league win to their name so far, and down at Exeter is not the place to improve their away record. Exeter by 13

Northampton v Leicester
The Midlands derby this time features second place against 12th, with the Tigers struggling in the league so far. Add to the fact that the Saints have won three of the last four matches against Leicester, and I can’t see past a home win here. Northampton by 8

Worcester v Sale
The leading sports betting markets have Sale has slight favourites for this one, but I fancy the home side here, after a couple of tough European outings for Sale. Worcester by 4

Bristol v Sale
Top of the Premiership and top of their pool in Europe, and with the news that Semi Radradra will be joining, the Bears are rampant. They should beat London Irish here, even though the Exiles have been giving a good account of themselves so far. Bristol by 13

Harlequins v Gloucester
Quins have been poor so far this season, with a home defeat to Worcester last time out and just one win over Bristol so far this season. They are usually tough to beat at the Stoop, but Gloucester beat them comfortably on their in the most recent visit the capital, and I think they are favourites here. Gloucester by 7

What do you think of these predictions?

14 thoughts on “Gallagher Premiership 2019/20: Round 5 Predictions

  1. Agree with all the results. I also had the same thoughts on Bristol but Radradra will be a marquee player anyway so is excluded from the cap.

    The game structure annoys me too. I font have any interest in the European games and don’t watch any so i get really fed up with the constant breaks in the flow of the league.

    1
  2. You’ve correctly identified the 2 hardest games to predict. I think one needs to see line ups to get a better read on chances. Sale had trouble beating 14 man La R and only had 37% possession and territory even against 14. Terrible and with a good team. The Diamond effect. Quins were bad against a crap Bath team. But Bath are a basket case with new injuries to Watson and Ewells making things worse against Sarries. Toss up Quins vs Sale. I’ll wait to see line up. Draw anyone?

    1. OOOOps. Quins vs Sale should be a draw but they’re not playing each other. Sorry. I agree Gloucester to beat Quins. C & W did everything right vs Montpellier and should have won away from home. And on reflection and double checking Worc last game I have to agree. Worcester looking good here.

    2. Having seen line ups the answers are not so obvious. Leicester have a strong team but thanks to Murphy effect SAints should win but I’m not so confident at 8. Quins team not too shabby with good reserves and home advantage. Has the last 2 weeks taken all the steam out of Glaws? Sale is an excellent team on paper but with bad coach. If they disregard Diamond’s continuous attempts at game tactics and just played rugby one would have thought they could easily win. But I’ve bet on Sale too many times.

  3. OOOOps. Quins vs Sale should be a draw but they’re not playing each other. Sorry. I agree Gloucester to beat Quins. C & W did everything right vs Montpellier and should have won away from home. And on reflection and double checking Worc last game I have to agree. Worcester looking good here.

  4. OOOOps. Quins vs Sale should be a draw but they’re not playing each other. Sorry. I agree Gloucester to beat Quins. C & W did everything right vs Montpellier and should have won away from home. And on reflection and double checking Worc last game I have to agree. Worcester looking good here.

  5. Home wins, Saracens & Glous apart. Seems reasonable. Also seem to be quite a few new players this season, so doesn’t make predictions easier. I predict that Sarries may still get booed a bit, but they & Exe should be the winniest teams, followed by N’thampton this season? Bath under Hooper, despite injuries, seem to by going backwards. When I saw them play Quins recently, both sides seemed bereft of ideas on how to score a try. Both resorted to a hoofing contest, particularly at one point in the 2nd 1/2. So much for 2 teams from the ‘best league in the world’ I thought. Surely, Gustard needs an attack coach? Leicester, under Murphy (still?), again seem military medium? Dunno about Irish, Sale, Worcs, but Bris look lively, ambitious. Anyway, see what Sat brings 1st.

    1
    1. Regds Pete. Forgot Wasps, who also seem mid table material at best, although Glous could threaten. Decent team, coach. Seem capable enough, but also just seem to inexplicably stumble at times?

      1. Easy to forget Wasps. Dai Young IMO is the worst coach of all time. For too many years he has had quality players to choose from and they always come up short. The squad he has today is no exception. Yet mediocre is the best he can muster. The problem is hes a former prop and cannot understand how a pass really works. In the last 5 yrs he has at least attempted to play a wide expansive game.

        1. Back to the Gatland yrs, when, from memory, Howley, Davies, Denny & Waters, Abbott etc could pass & more? IMO, when Wasps were the most complete team I’ve seen in England.

          1. Indeed a cracking and very balanced team – solid throughout the team with a smattering of star dust in the right places – Dowd, Leota, Lol, Lewsey.

            If were picking an All Time premiership XV it would be a shoot out between Alex King and Nick Evans for 10.

Leave a Reply