More Predictable Round 5 in the Heineken Champions Cup

Round 5 of the Heineken Champions Cup went largely according to the script, with only a couple of 50/50 matches and a draw between Glasgow and Exeter.

Here are the results, along with the Superbru predictability:

La Rochalle 30 – 23 Sale, 68%
Bath 19 – 25 Harlequins, 52%
Clermont 29 – 13 Ulster, 52%
Ospreys 15 – 22 Saracens, 97%
Glasgow 31 – 31 Exeter, 1%
Connacht 7 – 21 Toulouse, 91%
Gloucester 29 – 6 Montpellier 77%
Northampton 33 – 20 Treviso 96%
Leinster 42 – 14 Lyon 99%
Racing 39 – 22 Munster 88%

Leinster and Toulouse remain as the only teams in the competition to have won all five of their matches so far, with Leinster notching up 4 bonus point wins to sit as current top seeds on 24 points, with Toulouse and Exeter on 22.

Northampton need to win in Lyon next week, and then they should qualify behind Leinster as one of the best pool runners-up.

Glasgow’s highly-entertaining draw with Exeter probably means they are out, given that all the other 2nd-placed teams are ahead of them on points at this stage.

These are the teams I would expect to see in the quarter-finals once the final pool stage games have been played next weekend:

Leinster
Northampton
Exeter
Clermont
Ulster
Racing
Saracens
Toulouse

There’s a reasonable chance that Exeter go through as 4th seed and end up playing Saracens as 6th seed, which could be a feisty affair, and if that is indeed the quarter-final line up, we should be in for some great ties.

How did you enjoy the weekend’s European Rugby?

2 thoughts on “More Predictable Round 5 in the Heineken Champions Cup

  1. “These are the teams I would expect to see in the quarter-finals once the final pool stage games have been played next weekend:”

    Is that assuming that:

    a) Saints don’t trip up away to Lyon – not massively likely I admit, and

    b) Saracens win at home to Racing – I don’t think this is a sure thing, Racing will presumably bring a fairly strong side as they would want to win this to keep hold of 4th place and a home quarter final? If the other four group leaders all win, then they face an away trip to Clermont instead?

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  2. Don’t think I have ever seen a worse weekend of refereeing, mostly French. Carre should never have been red carded, he simply hit the player slightly earlier than he intended to because someone else tackled the ball carrier and pushed him towards Carre, who was unable to wrap because his teammate was in the way. Yellow at worst, whereas Poite totally bottles sending off the Glasgow captain for a cynical and deliberate head shot. Gutsy win for Sarries. Really hope they qualify, but they may well come unstuck next week. Quins v Bath was dreadful, and Saints were dire. They need a much better performance next week.

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