Six Nations 2019: Round 4 Predictions

Wales beating England in Round 3 was very disappointing, not least because it was my first incorrect pick on Superbru and I lost a few places as a result.

The first match this weekend looks like the toughest to call. Here are my Superbru predictions for Round 4 of the Six Nations.

Scotland v Wales
The Scots were beaten comfortably in Paris in Round 3, which was not a huge surprise given their injury woes. Finn Russell returns this weekend, which should give them a big boost, along with the fact that they beat Wales in their last fixture at Murrayfield. Welsh Rugby has been in turmoil this week, with shambolic discussions over the future of regional rugby, which will affect every player’s livelihood. That will surely have impacted their preparations this week, potentially affecting their focus on the Grand Slam campaign, and surely they won’t have the same sort of passion and drive that they showed against the English. I also feel like Wales are slightly overrated, although I can’t figure out if that’s an emotional or analytical assessment!

My Superbru prediction: Scotland by 2
Bookie handicap: Wales -4

England v Italy
I’m not convinced by this England lineup. It wasn’t long ago that Eddie Jones picked two playmakers in the centre, and now he has selected two big ball-carriers for whom passing is not their finest attribute. And why has Dan Robson not been given a start? Ben Youngs and Owen Farrell performed poorly in Cardiff, and so is this match not the perfect opportunity to see what their understudies can do, just in case there is ever the need again to try something different?

Sergio Parisse is back for Italy, and I expect they’ll do their best to frustrate England and cement their position as one of my least favourite teams to watch, but I can’t see them winning at Twickenham, and so it’s all about the margin.

The bookies have given England a 33-point handicap, which feels a little excessive, particularly as they have underestimated Italy in every match so far. I can see a ponderous, scrappy performance from England in the first-half before they get it together and pull away towards the end – I’m not really looking forward to the game…can anyone help to get me excited about it?

My Superbru prediction: England by 23
Bookie handicap: England -33

Ireland v France
In a most unusual turn of events, France have named an unchanged side for their visit to Dublin, and they might have a little more confidence after their win over the Scots. But realistically, they aren’t going to beat Ireland away from home. Ireland’s team isn’t out yet, but I expect the usual lineup as they seek to improve on their performances so far this year, and whilst they haven’t hit the heights of 2018 just yet, it would be a huge shock if they lost to France.

My Superbru prediction: Ireland by 13
Bookie handicap: Ireland -14

How do you see the games going this weekend? Can Scotland beat Wales?

6 thoughts on “Six Nations 2019: Round 4 Predictions

  1. I think you’re probably spot on with the England and Ireland fixtures, but Wales will have too much for the Scots I think.

    I don’t think they fear Murrayfield and while Finn Russell is back, they’re still with out Hogg and Huw Jones. Although Ali Price starting is a blessing for them.

    The Scots have been underachieving, but with thier injuries I don’t think they have the depth in the squad to match Wales currently.

    Wales by 11

  2. The easy one first.
    England will beat Italy by 15+ points.
    It gets harder now.
    Scotland-Wales could be very close. Scotland at home are far superior to what they are away, and I just have a feeling there is one big performance and result for them this 6N’s, though plainly injuries are a factor. Home win by 3.
    Also think the Ireland-france game will be close. Ireland havent exactly shone so far. The French showed signs of real life last time and have very sensibly kept an unchanged side. Home win by 6 pts as a second defeat in Dublin is a bit of a stretch.

  3. No way the scots Will beat wales. They still lack jones, hogg and a bunch Lot of forwards! They Will Not be able to match them physically, you need a tough pack to fight the AWJ, navidi, tipuric, moriarty and owens. I see huge difference specially in the backrowers. Eventhough, Murrayfield has Been a fortress lately but scotland has an injury crisis to big for them to deal against a fighter wales side.

  4. I do see where your coming from with Wales. I can’t decide if they’re playing badly but winning anyway with luck/opposition not showing up or if they’re playing with tactical brilliance but in a way which makes them look crap. I honestly don’t know which means it’s probably a bit of both.

    As for results Scotland have been awful so I can’t see anything other than a Wales win, England you would expect to win as Italy are still a way behind the pack. Also Ireland should win comfortably at home.

    The way the games have fallen this year has ended up being a bit disappointing. It feels like at this point the only game left that could change the result is Wales V Ireland next weekend. With France being poor this weekends games all feel a bit predictable.

    1. Italy played like Italy away, only worse. Why didn’t they play like they did v Ireland? Why did home advantage make sooo much difference? Italy buggered up my predictions!

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