Six Nations 2019: Round 5 Predictions

Mark Wilson

Round 4 was relatively easy to predict, although I took a gamble on Scotland beating Wales, which didn’t pay off. The Scots had a couple of chances to win the game, but Wales ultimately prevailed and now the Grand Slam is within touching distance.

Can they finish the job? Here are my Superbru predictions for the final round of Six Nations matches.

Italy v France
This is the one Italy will have been targeting in particular, a home match against the strange French team that have been mostly poor during the tournament so far. Italy haven’t won a game, but they’ve kept the scores fairly respectable, apart from at Twickenham, and there’s a sniff of an upset here. But I think France will win. France by 13

Wales v Ireland
This should be a great occasion, with a rapturous crowd in Cardiff willing the men in red to clinch the Grand Slam. Wales haven’t quite hit the heights yet, but with home advantage and the big prize so close, can you bet against them?

Ireland have named a strong side, and they’ll be desperate to finish their campaign on a more positive note after a slightly disappointing campaign. A tournament win is unlikely, but a victory against the odds in Cardiff would go a long way to restoring confidence ahead of the World Cup. They are almost back to full strength, with a fearsome back row of Peter O’Mahony, Sean O’Brien and CJ Stander, and Conor Murray and Jonny Sexton pulling the strings.

On paper, I think Ireland is the better side, and as a half-Irishman half-Englishman, I really want them to win. Ireland by 2

England v Scotland
Two years ago, the Scots came to Twickenham sensing a first victory since 1983, but they were duly blown away. They won a year later at Murrayfield, precipitating England’s downward spiral in 2018, but there doesn’t seem to be any expectation of victory this time.

Injuries have ruined their campaign, with key men such as Stuart Hogg, Huw Jones, Finn Russell and Hamish Watson all missing games, and the depth isn’t there to challenge without these stars. Indeed, they’d be a loss to any team. Russell and Watson are back, but resources in the backs are stretched and I can’t see them winning.

Eddie Jones has named what appears to be close to his first-choice lineup, although it’s hard to second-guess his selections. With a powerful romp to build confidence last week, they’ll be keen to put Scotland to the sword and end the tournament on a high. The result in the previous match may just influence how they approach the game, but whatever happens in Cardiff, I’d be surprised if this was particularly close.

Incidentally, if Wales win a close game without a bonus point, and England score more than 4 tries, they’ll be level on championship points, and we’d see the first instance of the ‘Grand Slam bonus points’ coming in to play.

England by 23

17 thoughts on “Six Nations 2019: Round 5 Predictions

  1. Italy to win by 3 points in a game where there is at least 1 controversy against the French.

    Wales and Ireland to draw in a tense game where no tries are scored 9 points per piece.

    England to win comfortably against Scotland.

  2. French by 15, Ireland by 12, England by 12 or 36 , depending on which England turn up and how well the plan is executed!

  3. Ireland to win by a few in a dour slugfest, featuring little flair but plenty of drama to deny Wales a GS.
    England then go in to win by 3 or 4 scores by blowing away a depleted, under powered Scottish side to claim the Championship.
    In the other game, Italy and France produce the best game of what has been a pretty forgettable tournament. Italy squeak home by 3 after 10 tries are shared.

    1. I agree it’s been pretty forgettable. With France falling apart, Scotland going backwards and Italy not improving it’s felt like only 3 games have had any drama attached to them, Ireland V England, Wales V England and Wales V Ireland. How it misses an in form France. Imagine how dull it would have been if England had carried their form from the last 12 months in.

      Maybe relegation isn’t such a bad idea after all.

  4. France by 20+
    Wales by 10-
    England by 10+
    Overall table
    1. Wales
    3. Ireland
    4. France
    5. Scotland
    6. Italy
    Wales I think have been the best side in the competition and should be strong quater/ semi final RWC favorites. England – same for them, they have been imperessive and with a bit of luck should be strong quater/ semi final favorites. Ireland – have gone off the boil a bit, but still have performed well and should be strong quater/ semi final favorites. France have – as usual – been at times good eg. 27-10 win over the Scots and at times bad eg. losing 19-24 to Wales after a 16-0 HT lead. They should be pool stage/ quater final favorites. Scotland they have had injuries but have not been up to standard. However, they haven’t been awful. They should be strong quater final favorites. Italy, have just been themselves, being beaten, however they have only suffered one thrashing and have made a fist of the competition. They should be group stage favorites.

    1. Well CB, Wales may or may not beat Ireland later on today, but as for their being the best team in the 6N, this must be debatable @ best. They were awful v Fr in the 1st 1/2 with 9 t/overs! Also, it took a chance intercept to help get them back into it in the 2nd 1/2.. & Fr have been erratic @ best. Also, v England, Wales were surely significantly helped by England’s inability to simply hold on to possession for the whole of the 2nd 1/2. These things happen of course & it is what it is, but Wales have ridden their luck & haven’t been particularly convincing in my book. Hard to state whether Ireland have ‘gone off the boil’ just yet. They’ve been workman like thus far, rather than convincingly spectacular. However, 1 win with the wily Schmidt today could turn it all around, especially for England. OTOH, Wales, being @ home, may sneak it. We’ll have to see. By today’s end though, things could take a turn or two and see some spanners thrown into the works. The comp may yet turn on its head.

    2. Oops, CB. Have to take it back re Ireland, even though it’s a Kiwi who’s been kicking Ireland to death courtesy of an Oz ref. The Irish not only look ‘undercooked’, but potentially past their sell by? WC also rans? Even allowing for home advantage, which always skews the 6N, Wales seem to have grown into the comp, whilst Ireland are looking more & more inept. What price Furlong & particularly the WPotYr, Sexton now? Latter arguably looks something of a spent force with his ineffective kicking comparable to that of Farrell’s, also v Wales!

  5. Something just occurred to me while watching wales/Ireland: Are Ireland missing an O’Connell, BOD type leader on the field? They seem to be a bit rudderless and while they have some hugely talented players and a first class coach, do they have an inspirational. “scruff of the neck ” leader to galvanise them when things go askew?

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