Round 4 was another better-than-average week for me on Superbru, with 4 out of 6 narrowly beating the community score of 3.84 correct picks. With three MPs as well, it was another green arrow and I’m just outside the top 5% on the global leaderboard.
But still no GSP, which is starting to get frustrating, so here’s hoping for a full house this weekend. Here are my Super Rugby predictions for Round 5.
Highlanders v Rebels
This is a fairly straightforward pick to start off with, as the Rebels travel to Dunedin where they have never beaten the Highlanders. You’d expect this to be a fairly comfortable home win, and although in Super Rugby there is always the chance of an upset, it makes no sense to pick the Rebels. Highlanders by 16
Waratahs v Lions
This is a very tricky pick. The Lions have won the last 5 in a row against the Waratahs, including a 29-0 away win two years ago, but they haven’t been at their best so far this season, with only a narrow home win against the Reds to their name. But the winless Waratahs have been abysmal, and they are the only team still on 0 points on the log. A win here would boost their confidence, but I’m leaning towards the Lions having had a bye week to travel and prepare. Lions by 7
Hurricanes v Sunwolves
The Sunwolves were thrashed by the Reds last week in their first away game of the season, and playing the Hurricanes is another step up. I’ll keep an eye on team news, with the Canes likely to rest some key players, but it’s really a case of how many they will win by. Hurricanes by 38
Reds v Sharks
The Sharks complete their tour with a trip to Brisbane to face the Reds, who had lost three games in a row before destroying the Sunwolves last week. That training run will give the Reds some confidence, and I fancy them to nick this, with the Sharks potentially running out of steam at the end of their long away trip. Reds by 4
Stormers v Blues
The last-minute penalty by the Blues to beat the Bulls last weekend was mightily frustrating, but surely they can’t take down the unbeaten Stormers at Newlands? The home team has won this fixture on the last 6 occasions, and I think it will be 7 in a row. Stormers by 13
Bulls v Jaguares
This is another tough pick to end the round, with the winless Bulls up against the Jaguares, and even though everyone knows the Bulls are tough to beat at Loftus, those three red Ls on their streak are hard to overlook. Nevertheless, if that late penalty by the Blues had not been kicked, they would have won the game and I’d not be hesitating to pick them this weekend too. I’ll await team news, but for now…Bulls by 4