All those weeks of toiling, travelling the globe, playing the fastest brand of rugby in the world – it all comes down to this. Chiefs v Brumbies, winner takes all.
Spare a thought for the Bulls and the Crusaders, losing semi-finalists by the narrowest of margins, whose seasons were cruelly cut short by one week.
But that’s knockout rugby, and the final looks set to be a thriller. Can Jake White’s Brumbies pull off back-to-back upsets to lift the trophy? Only 11% on SuperBru expected them to beat the Bulls last week and the prediction stats this week are not dissimilar.
The one factor that is proving decisive in my thinking for this game is travel – the Brumbies have been to Jo’burg, back to Canberra and across to Hamilton all in the space of 10 days or so, and that has to have an impact.
Home advantage could have been enough anyway, but the Chiefs are clear favourites for me. Chiefs by 10.
The caveat to this is where you stand in your SuperBru pool. If you’re within touching distance of the leader, you need to pick the opposite of what they pick to stand a chance of winning – so perhaps you pick the Brumbies and hope for the upset.
But then what if they pick the Brumbies, knowing that you’ll be forced into doing that? Could you double-bluff and pick the Chiefs, and suddenly you’re the favourite to win? What if he expects your double-bluff? What if what if? Mind games.
Does this situation sound familiar in your pool? Let us know the situation and we’ll give some collective advice!
Good luck for the final!