Super Rugby 2019: Round 8 Predictions

Super Rugby Predictions

It was 3 out of 6 for me in Round 7, slightly better than the community average of 2.81, and thanks to a Margin Point in the Bulls’ narrow win over the Sharks in Durban, I managed some green arrows on the Superbru rankings.

Last week was a reminder that Super Rugby is a bit of a lottery. Take the Waratahs – they beat the defending champions Crusaders one week, and lose to the lowly Sunwolves the next. Or even the Crusaders – beaten in Sydney, and then they thrash the Hurricanes in Wellington.

So with that in mind, let’s look at this week’s coin flips.

Highlanders v Hurricanes
After a strong start, the Highlanders are now without a win since February, but given that the Hurricanes have not won in Dunedin since 2015, this is a tricky pick. Indeed the home team has won this match on the last 6 occasions, and I’m going to pick a home win. Highlanders by 2

Reds v Stormers
This is another difficult one to call. The Reds are usually fairly rubbish, and despite the Stormers losing a couple of key players to injury, they’ve had a reasonable tour so far without a win, and they are the better team on paper. Stormers by 6

Lions v Sharks
The Sharks are another team that has faded since a bright start, with a home defeat to the Bulls last week. Meanwhile, the Lions have won 3 in a row and haven’t lost to the Sharks at home since 2014. Lions by 9

Crusaders v Brumbies
A powerful win over the Hurricanes last week suggested that their defeat at the Waratahs was an anomalous blip, and I can’t see the Brumbies putting up much of a fight in the first match in Christchurch since the tragedy a few weeks ago. Crusaders by 23

Blues v Waratahs
I can’t entertain the thought of a team winning in the New Zealand capital having just lost at home to the Sunwolves. Blues by 13

Rebels v Sunwolves
The Rebels have won all three of their matches against the Sunwolves by an average of over 24 points, and whilst the axed Japanese franchise has already caused a couple of notable upsets this season, they still aren’t stringing big games together. Rebels by 16

Bulls v Jaguares
A win in Durban will have restored confidence after the Bulls were thrashed by the Chiefs at Loftus. Superbru Insights tells me the Jaguares have travelled 15,020km in the last 3 weeks, and that includes a bye week, whereas the Bulls have only been to Durban and back in that time. It’s a tough assignment for the well-travelled Jaguares at altitude. Bulls by 13

Which ones do you disagree with this week?

5 thoughts on “Super Rugby 2019: Round 8 Predictions

  1. The Blues resurgence has got their supporters wrongfully claiming they will be the number 2 NZ side. The Hurricanes will dispute this as will they dispute you moving the capital from Wellington to Auckland. They might think that is the case but thankfully it is not!

  2. I think the Hurricanes will come back strong this weekend so I say Hurricanes by 10 and the stormers vs Reds is gonna be a tough one stormers by 10 crusaders by 20 and the blues will win by 15 and Rebels will be to strong for the sunwolves Rebels 15 Lions and sharks are gonna be a good game believe it or not I really think the sharks is gonna turn this one around with Bosch in the side and taking over kicking duties sharks by 5 bulls vs jagaurs I think the jagaurs are gonna be to strong for bulls jagaurs by 10

  3. Well, the Hurticanes did pull it off, just. Without the intercept though, against the run of play, it would likely have been a different result. Still a bit unconvincing for me. Too many errors, like 4 lost lineouts, for instance! Seems to me that the Kiwi teams are generally making more mistakes than in previous seasons. Cut these out & it will make a big difference IMO, especially & crucially, away from home.

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