Heineken Cup Predictions: Round 5


Ulster kick-off round round five on Friday night, taking on a Montpellier team that is missing many of its stellar names. The French club are out of the competition and will have one (if not two) eye(s) on the Top 14. Enzo Selponi is a talent at fly-half, but really Ulster should record a comfortable victory, and will be chasing the bonus point. The other game this evening sees the Scarlets travel to Paris to take on Racing in a game which is a dead rubber, and should go with the home team, who have named a strong team that includes former Scarlet Mike Phillips.

Saturday brings action from pool four, where Harlequins welcome Clermont to the Stoop. The French giants are in control of the pool, but will want a win in London to secure top spot and a home quarter final. However, with Quins bringing some good form (last week’s blip at Northampton aside) into the game, and the French side’s notorious inability to win on the road, I think the home team could grab an unlikely four points. Elsewhere, the Tigers face a tough assignment in Italy against a Treviso side that have caused them problems in the past, while Toulon host Cardiff, hoping to eradicate the memories of their shock round two loss at the Arms Park. Despite losing at home last weekend to Grenoble in the league, I’d expect them to win reasonably comfortably against the Welsh side.

In the later kick-offs, Gloucester welcome Munster to Kingsholm, hoping to turn their miserable season around. They’ve still got a slim chance of qualifying if they win their last two games, so will give it everything against a Munster side whose results have flattered them somewhat so far this season. Interestingly, Jonny May has been named at 13, potentially at the request of Stuart Lancaster, who might have one eye on him featuring there for England in the Six Nations. I would still expect, however, the Irish province to be too strong upfront for Gloucester.

Sunday sees three massive games, two of which come from pool one. Leinster are in the driving seat and will all but confirm a quarter final berth with a win at Castres, which they may well do – although the French champions have named a strong team. The Saints will go out all guns blazing in Swansea, knowing a bonus point victory over the Ospreys would leave them in with a chance of qualifying, should Leinster slip up.

The weekend culminates in mouthwatering fashion, with Sarries’ trip to Toulouse in probably the most difficult game to call of the weekend. Connacht have already shown that winning at the Ernest Wallon is eminently possible, but after that slip Toulouse will be on their guard, and having won away in London will be sniffing top spot and a home quarter final. Sarries, however, have been ripping up the Premiership and will back themselves to win anywhere, especially with a pack that has an unreal depth to it. In fact, this should be an epic forward battle for the full 80 minutes – the players on the bench include Gurthro Steenkamp, Romain Millo-Chluski, Joe Tekori, Matt Stevens and Ernst Joubert.

SuperBru predictions:

Ulster Rugby v Montpellier: Ulster by 15
Racing Métro v Scarlets: Racing by 7
Harlequins v Clermont Auvergne: Harlequins by 2
Treviso v Leicester Tigers: Tigers by 8
Exeter Chiefs v Glasgow Warriors: Exeter by 5
Connacht v Zebre: Connacht by 15
Toulon v Cardiff Blues: Toulon by 14
Edinburgh Rugby v Perpignan: Edinburgh by 3
Gloucester Rugby v Munster: Munster by 6
Ospreys v Northampton Saints: Ospreys by 4
Castres Olympique v Leinster: Leinster by 5
Toulouse v Saracens: Toulouse by 3

By Jamie Hosie
Follow Jamie on Twitter: @jhosie43

Photo by: Patrick Khachfe / Onside Images

20 thoughts on “Heineken Cup Predictions: Round 5

  1. Munster by 6pts. I think that Davies would take that now!

    Really can’t see Ospreys beating Northampton.

    No matter, I have no great form on these predictions, but one thing is for sure – there are some cracking games lined up.

    You didn’t mention it as neither team can qualify but I think the Exeter Glasgow game may be a good one to watch.

  2. Agree with most. Although I think both Saracens and Northampton will both win away this weekend.

    There could be a few really tight pools going into the final weekend.

  3. I’ve picked Sarries and Saints to win as well, but found making predictions quite tough – how much do teams really care about this competition now, particularly if they are fighting for honours (or survival) in their domestic league?

  4. Do you actually get any predictions right?? I don’t think you do any research before posting your predictions!

    I can’t believe you think Ulster will only win by 15! Have you not read that Montpellier have a second string team playing? Ulster will win by at least 30.

    The reigning champs Toulon will certainly beat Cardiff by more than your ‘guess’ of 14. Toulon are miles better than Cardiff and will win by at least 24 points.

    1. Xavier, how about posting your predictions for each game here and we can rendez-vous on Monday to review them.

      I’m not saying you are wrong, but you sound 100% sure that you’re right.

  5. Ok you are on!

    Here are my predictions

    Ulster Rugby v Montpellier: Ulster by 32
    Racing Métro v Scarlets: Racing by 12
    Harlequins v Clermont Auvergne: Clermont by 6
    Treviso v Leicester Tigers: Leicester by 16
    Exeter Chiefs v Glasgow Warriors: Glasgow by 4
    Connacht v Zebre: Connacht by 8
    Toulon v Cardiff Blues: Toulon by 24
    Edinburgh Rugby v Perpignan: Perpignan by 5
    Gloucester Rugby v Munster: Munster by 9
    Ospreys v Northampton Saints: Northampton by 6
    Castres Olympique v Leinster: Leinster by 11
    Toulouse v Saracens: Toulouse by 15

  6. What do you mean I fell at the first hurdle?

    There are loads of games still to go. The challenge set is for all the games not just one!

  7. Neil, can you read? Or are you just a complete muppet?

    I suggest you look at my predictions and the results again.

  8. Results – Round 5.

    Ulster 27 Montpellier 16
    Jamie said ulster by 15, I said 32.
    1-0 to Jamie.

    Racing 13 Scarlets 19
    We both said racing to win, so that’s void

    Exeter 10 Glasgow 15
    Jamie said Exeter by 5, I said Glasgow by 4. 1-1.

    Harlequins 13 Clermont 16
    Jamie said Quins by 2, I said Clermont by 6. 2-1 to me

    Treviso 19 Leicester 34
    Jamie said Tigers by 8, I said by 15.
    3-1 to me.

    Connacht 20 Zebre 3
    Jamie said Con by 15, I said 8
    3-2 to me.

    Toulon 43 Cardiff 20
    Jamie said Toulon by 14, I said 24.
    That’s 4-2 to me

    Edinburgh 27 Perp 16
    Jamie said Ed by 2, I said Perp by 5
    4-3 to me.

    Gloucester 7 Munster 20
    Jamie said Munster by 6, I said 9
    That’s 5-3 to me

    Ospreys 17 Northampton 29
    Jamie said Ospreys by 4, I said Northampton by 6
    That’s 6-3 to me.

    Castres 22 Leinster 29
    Jamie said Leinster by 5, I said 11
    That’s 6-4 to me
    Toulouse 21 Saracens 11
    Jamie said Toulouse by 3, I said 15
    That’s 7-4 to me.

  9. This cmment started the “challenge” though, didnt it?

    “I can’t believe you think Ulster will only win by 15! Have you not read that Montpellier have a second string team playing? Ulster will win by at least 30”

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